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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/1421

Title: Relatively low HIV infection rates in rural Uganda, but with high potential for a rise: a cohort study in Kayunga District, Uganda
Authors: Guwatudde, David
Wabwire-Mangen, Fred
Eller, Leigh Anne
Eller, Michael
McCutchan, Francine
Kibuuka, Hannah
Millard, Monica
Sewankambo, Nelson
Serwadda, David
Michael, Nelson
Robb, Merlin
Kayunga Cohort Research Team
Keywords: HIV/AIDS
HIV prevalence
Kayunga District
Uganda
Issue Date: 2009
Publisher: Public Library of Science
Citation: Guwatudde D., Wabwire-Mangen F., Eller L.A., Eller M., McCutchan F., Kibuuka, H., Millard, M., Sewankambo, N., Serwadda, D., Michael, N., Robb, M., Kayunga Cohort Research Team (2009) Relatively low HIV infection rates in rural Uganda, but with high potential for a rise: a cohort study in Kayunga District, Uganda. PLoS ONE 4(1)
Abstract: Background: Few studies have been conducted in Uganda to identify and quantify the determinants of HIV-1 infection. We report results from a community-based cohort study, whose primary objectives were to determine HIV-1 prevalence, incidence, and determinants of these infections, among other objectives. Methodology: Consenting volunteers from the rural district of Kayunga in Uganda aged 15–49 years were enrolled between March and July 2006. Participants were evaluated every six months. A questionnaire that collected information on behavioral and other HIV-1 risk factors was administered, and a blood sample obtained for laboratory analysis at each study visit. Principal Findings: HIV-1 prevalence among the 2025 participants was 9.9% (95% CI = 8.6%–11.2%). By the end of 12 months of follow-up, 1689.7 person-years had been accumulated, with a median follow-up time of 11.97 months. Thirteen HIV-1 incident cases were detected giving an annual HIV-1 incidence of 0.77% (95% CI = 0.35–1.19). Prevalence of HSV-2 infection was 57% and was strongly associated with prevalent HIV-1 infection (adjusted Odds Ratio = 3.9, 95% CI = 2.50–6.17); as well as incident HIV-1 infection (adjusted Rate Ratio (RR) = 8.7, 95% CI = 1.11–67.2). The single most important behavioral characteristic associated with incident HIV infection was the number of times in the past 6 months, a participant had sex with person(s) they suspected/knew were having sex with others; attaining statistical significance at 10 times and higher (adjusted RR = 6.3, 95% CI = 1.73–23.1). By the end of 12 months of follow-up, 259 participants (13%) were lost to follow-up, 13 (0.6%) had died, and 2 (0.1%) had withdrawn consent. Conclusions: Despite relatively low HIV-1 incidence observed in this community, prevalence remains relatively high. In the presence of high prevalence of HSV-2 infection and the behavioral characteristic of having sex with more than one partner, there is potential for increase in HIV-1 incidence.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/1421
ISSN: 1932-6203
Appears in Collections:Research Articles (Health-Sciences)

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